Political Risk Expert

Resource Nationalism Assessment

Assessment of mining licence revocations, windfall taxes, and forced renegotiation in West Africa, Latin America, and Central Asia resource disputes.

Resource nationalism assessment analyses state measures asserting greater control over natural resources: licence revocations, windfall taxes, forced renegotiation, and nationalisation in mining, energy, and infrastructure sectors.

The surge in West Africa (Guinea, Mali, Burkina Faso), Latin America energy nationalism, and Central Asia infrastructure disputes in 2024-2026 has generated significant ICSID and commercial arbitration activity requiring country-specific political analysis.

Experts assess whether measures constitute legitimate policy change or treaty violations, establishing the political motivations, legal process followed, and discrimination against foreign investors.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is resource nationalism and why is it increasing?

Resource nationalism is where states reassert control over natural resources through licence actions, taxation, and renegotiation. It has increased significantly in West Africa, Latin America, and Central Asia in 2024-2026, generating investment treaty and commercial disputes.

How does expert assessment assist in mining licence revocation claims?

Experts analyse the political context of revocation, legal process followed, discrimination against the investor, and consistency with treaty obligations, providing the background tribunals need for FET and expropriation analysis.

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